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Yes,
you are welcome to republish these articles in their original form,
with appropriate author credits. I'd be interested in knowing where
and when, but it is not a requirement. (Tell
a friend about these articles!)
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Your
401(k) Investments and the IGVSI
(May, 2008)
Summary:
Typically,
401(k) participants buy the higher priced, last-year-best-performing,
and hot sector offerings while they sell or avoid the various products
they feel have "under performed" the market. Nowhere
else in their lives do they adopt such a perverse strategy. And
nowhere else in their thinking would they blindly accept the premise
that any one number represents what is, or should be, going on in
their personal investment portfolios.
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Predicting
Stock Market Movements
(April, 2008)
Summary:
The
risk of loss cannot be eliminated. A simple change in a security's
market value is not a loss of principal just as certainly as a change
in the market value of your home is not evidence of termite damage.
Markets are complicated; emotions about one's assets are even more so.
Wall
Street spins reality in whatever manner it can to make most investors
unhappy, thus increasing new product sales.
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Investment
Politics: Jobs and the Economy
(April, 2008)
Summary:
Who wants
to be a president; the President of the United States? Social Security
reform is the winning ticket. Research supports the thesis that Social
Security reform would provide all the lubrication necessary to get our
economic ball bearings rolling in the right direction. Economies do
not grow, or increase employment, when job providers are taxed and
regulated unmercifully, throttling their energy, creativity, and
profitability. Consumer spending pushes the economy; we need to do
more than hand out a few hundred bucks.
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The
Real Scoop on Annuities - Part One
(March, 2008)
Summary:
Today,
it's difficult to distinguish one financial institution from another
as they compete for the ever-growing pool of investment dollars.
Insurance companies, now publicly owned, have become am integral part
of an industry that seems uninterested in protecting anything other
than their obscenely paid leaders.
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The
Rally Is Coming! The Rally Is Coming!
(March, 2008)
Summary:
The market
has never and will never be a one way ticket to ride (smile Beatles
fans). None of the important aspects of the voyage (advances,
declines, speed, beginning, or end) are predictable, by anyone, no
matter how overpaid or well credentialed. Sooner or later, some gutsy
financial gurus will declare the stock market oversold and full of
bargains.
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Investment
Performance and The Working Capital Model
(March, 2008)
Summary:
The
Working Capital Model (WCM) approach to portfolio performance
evaluation eliminates the tears and fears because it is based on more
than the current market value illusion of wealth--- a number that
won't sit still long enough to ever be meaningful. Market value,
within the WCM, is used only to determine what to buy and/or when to
take profits
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Investor
Political Priorities - A Survey
(February 2008)Summary:
"Many
investors are beginning to think that income investing is every bit as
risky as equity investing, but nothing has really changed in the
relationship between these two basic building blocks of corporate
finance. What has changed in recent years is the nature of the
derivative products created by the wizards of Wall Street to deliver
both forms of securities to investors.
"
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Just
Another Credit Crunch!?!
(February 2008)Summary:
"Many
investors are beginning to think that income investing is every bit as
risky as equity investing, but nothing has really changed in the
relationship between these two basic building blocks of corporate
finance. What has changed in recent years is the nature of the
derivative products created by the wizards of Wall Street to deliver
both forms of securities to investors.
"
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The High
Risk in Foundation/Endowment Investment Portfolios
(February 2008)Summary:
"One
can only speculate about how much "Bubble Paper" finds its
way into the these portfolios, but nearly all of them are managed by
the major brokerage firms, and all such firms bonus their brokers on
the basis of product sales. It is not uncommon for Wall Street to
re-write the syllabus for Investments 101, redefining Quality,
Diversification, and Income to suit its own dark purposes…
"
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Investment
Performance Analysis Using the Working Capital Asset Allocation Model
(January 2008)Summary:
"Every
December, with visions of sugarplums dancing in their heads, investors
begin to scrutinize their performance, formulate couldas and shouldas,
and determine what to try next year. It's an annual, masochistic,
right of passage. My year-end vision is different. I see a bunch of
Wall Street fat cats, ROTF and LOL, while investors and their
alphabetically correct advisors determine what to change, sell, buy,
re-allocate..."
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Market
Cycle Investment Management
(January 2008)Summary:
"Whatever
happened to the Stock Market Cycle; the Interest Rate Cycle; Baby
Jane? How did Wall Street get away with pushing these facts of
financial life down the basement stairs? Most investors, I'm beginning
to believe, and all financial advisors, media representatives, and
market gurus have abandoned these fascinating curves for the comfort
of a straight-edged twelve-month playing field... simple, yes;
realistic, not."
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Stock
and Bond Trading Powers Modern Asset Allocation
(January 2008)Summary:
"Trading
does not have to be done quickly to be productive, and it doesn't have
to focus on higher risk securities to be profitable. And perhaps most
importantly, it doesn't have to avoid the interest-rate-sensitive
income securities that are so important to the long-term success of
any true investment portfolio."
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Stock
Market Investing - The November Syndrome
(November, 2007)Summary:
"November
is particularly exciting because it hosts the convergence of four
Katrina-level forces, all of which are part of Wall Street's
conventional wisdom while none of them lead to intelligent investment
decision making. And this year we have a special treat in the form of
a Category Three market correction in the Value Stock sector.
"
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Wall
Street Conventional Wisdom and Stock Market Corrections
(November, 2007)
Summary:
Corrections are as much a part of
the normal Market Cycle as rallies, and they can be brought about by
either bad news or good news. (Yes, that's what I meant to say.)
Investors always over-analyze when prices become weak and lose their
common sense when prices are high, thus perpetuating the "buy
high, sell low" Wall Street lunacy.
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The
Investor's Creed & Your Investment Portfolio
(October, 2007)Summary:
"The
"shock" market is the adult version of childhood thrill
rides, but with no predictable beginning or end, and no way of gauging
the size or duration of the peaks and valleys. This is one of the very
few things that can actually be known about The Market, security
groups, and sectors.
"
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The
Dow, Your Portfolio, and Aliens
(October, 2007)Summary:
"When
investors start to question why their Municipal Bond portfolios are
trailing the gain in the Dow, or when retirees start to buy gold
bullion instead of groceries, something is wrong. And it's the same
ole stuff that produces the greed and fear that lead to
investment-program-destroying mistakes every time! So lets look at the
performance of the Dow, to gain some perspective.
"
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Commissions,
Commissions, Commissions
(August, 2007)Summary:
"In
investing, fixed costs are minimal unless you go out of your way to
increase them by adopting some form of flat fee,
commission-replacement arrangement. A management person responsible
for directing your portfolio is a fixed expense; commissions were
meant to be variable. .Think about it this way. The major Full
Service firms on Wall Street charge backbreaking, obscene, commissions
and they stay in the retail business. Would they allow clients with as
little as $100,000 to opt for a Flat Fee arrangement if they thought
that they would make less money?"
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ETFs
Bring Down the Mighty DOW!
(August, 2007)Summary:
"So,
in addition to the normal risks associated with investing in general,
we add: speculating in narrowly focused sectors, guessing on the
prospects of unproven small cap companies, experimenting with
securities in single countries, rolling the dice on commodities, and
hoping for the eventual success of new technologies.
"
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How Do You Spell
Correction?
(August, 2007)
Summary:
"Repetition
is good for the brain's CPU, so forgive me for reinforcing what I've
said in the face of every correction since 1979... if you don't love
corrections, you really don't understand the financial markets. Don't
be insulted, it seems as though very few financial professionals want
you to see it this way and, in fact, Institutional Wall Street loves
it when individual investors panic in the face of uncertainty."
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Stock
and Bond Trading as a Conservative Investment Strategy
(May, 2007)
Summary:
"Trading does not have to be done quickly to be
productive, and it doesn't have to focus on higher risk securities to
be profitable. And perhaps most importantly, it doesn't have to avoid
the interest rate sensitive income securities that are so important to
the long-term success of any true investment portfolio.
...no more calls of your highest yielding paper when
interest rates fall. Instead, you are taking capital gains,
compounding your yield Of
course its magic… that's what we do here on Wall Street!
"
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An
Investor's Eye View of the Corporate Income Tax
(April, 2007)
Summary:
"Politicians have neither been shy about dictating
"proper" behavior to individuals nor hesitant in shamelessly
picking the pockets of businesses. At
the root of the problem is the tremendous investment the major parties
have in nurturing divisiveness, jealousy, and misunderstanding in the electorate. The Corporate Income Tax is a non-productive weight
on business decision makers, causing expenditures that would not be
considered were they not tax deductible."
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Investment
Politics 2008: What's (left) In Your Wallet?
(April, 2007)
Summary:
"As
Investors, we represent the single biggest voter block in the country.
We
must respond in one voice to the endless political drivel with a
resounding "Money Talks, BS Walks". We
want decision makers who design laws that aid economic freedoms, not
lawmakers who make decisions
that restrict them. Here's
the MT~BSW "Financial Plan" for the 2008 Election. Dot
Connectors Wanted!"
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March
Investment Madness: The Financial Final Four
(March, 2007)
Summary:
"What
correlation could there possibly be between an Annual Round Ball
Tournament and an Investment Portfolio or its Management?
The Final Four is comprised of the best teams,
not necessarily the best players. If
the legendary Greek was handicapping portfolio management
teams, he would be smiling broadly and rubbing his hands
together in anticipation of making odds in the Financial Markets! How
cool is this, a game with no end."
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Dealing
With Stock Market Corrections
(March, 2007)
Summary:
"A
correction is a beautiful thing, simply the flip side of a rally, big
or small. Theoretically, even technically I'm told, corrections adjust
equity prices to their actual value or "support levels". So
if you over think the environment or over cook the research, you'll
miss the party. Unlike many things in life, Stock Market realities
need to be dealt with quickly, decisively, and with zero hindsight."
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Year
End Investment and Tax Strategies
(November, 2006)
Summary:
"First thing Monday morning I'm going to march
into my boss's office and demand a pay cut so that I'll be in a lower
tax bracket. The key issue in considering a capital loss is the
economic viability of the investment… not your tax situation! Surely,
speaketh the Conventional Wisdom prophets, these profits will hang
around until next year, thus deferring those terrible taxes! (Worked
real well at year-end '99, you'll recall.)"
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Investment
Scandals & Scams: What's Next
(October, 2006)
Summary:
"Plain vanilla fraud and theft are less worrisome
to me than situations where the general acceptance of misinformation
or "business as usual" practices allows inherently bad
product ideas and blatant mismanagement to become accepted by
regulatory authorities, financial professionals, and myopically
gullible consumers. Here are some candidates for future
"Blockbuster Scandal Awards" (B S Awards, if you will):"
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John
Stossel for President: Two (unrelated) Book Reviews
(September, 2006)
Summary:
"As totally different as these books are in size,
subject matter, and writing style, they brought me around to the same
periphery broadening conclusions. As investors, we are perhaps the
largest single non-partisan constituency in America whether
self-employed, employed by others or retired."
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Investment
Management Strategy: Seven Principles for Success
(September, 2006)
Summary:
"Establish a profit-taking target for every
security you purchase. Avoid Unrealized Gains, Embrace Volatility,
Increase Annual Income, and remember that all key investment moments
are only visible in rear view mirrors. Keep in mind that you need
Income to pay the bills, and examine Market Value numbers
at intelligent intervals."
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Solving
Social Security: Fire the Politicians!
(August, 2006)
Summary:
"Are
you surprised that there is no "Social Security Trust
Fund"… no investments and no Investment Managers. This is a
gigantic Government designed and controlled Ponzi scheme that has
worked incredibly well in spite of congressional tinkering and
prohibitively high cost. There was always a tax plan for funding the
benefits, but never an Investment Plan.
"
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Real Estate Investing: No Lawyers, No Debt, No
Plungers
(August, 2006)
Summary: "Real
Estate investing is not nearly as legally complicated, financially
burdensome, or time consuming as you might think.
The benefits of this form of Real Estate Investing vs. ownership of
the properties themselves should be clear: No attorneys; no debt; no
maintenance; no problem."
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Stock
Market Window Dressing: The Art of Looking Smart! (July, 2006)
Summary:
"At
least four times per year, security prices are more a function of
institutional marketing practices than they are a reflection of the
economic forces that (we would like to think) are their primary
determining factors. Do you remember the "Circle of Gold"
chain letter from the seventies?"
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RELAX, A Volatile Stock Market Is Your Dearest
Friend
(June, 2006)
Summary:
"Call it foresight, or hindsight if you want to be argumentative,
but a long-term view of the Investment Process eliminates the
guesswork and points pretty clearly toward a trading mentality that
keys on the very natural volatility of the hundreds of Investment
Grade Equities out there for your portfolio building attention."
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In
Value Stock Investing, Quality is Job One (June, 2006)
Summary: "How
do we create a confidence building Stock Selection Universe? Simply
operating on blind faith with one of the common definitions may be too
simplistic, particularly since many of the numbers originate from the
subject companies".
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The
Dow Jones Industrial Average: Failing the Average Investor
(May, 2006)
Summary: "To most investors, the DJIA provides all of the
information they think they need, and they worship it mindlessly,
thinking that this time tattered average has mystical predictive and
analytic powers far beyond the scope of any other market number.
It's Wall Street's rendition of 'The Emperor's New Clothes'."
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Ten
Common Investment Errors: Stocks, Bonds, & Management (April,
2006)
Summary: "Losing money on an investment may not be the result of a mistake,
and not all mistakes result in monetary losses. Compounding the
problems that investors have managing their investment portfolios is
the sideshowesque sensationalism that the media brings to the
process. Avoid these ten common errors to improve your performance:"
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An
Investor's View of The Fair Tax: A Resolution (March,
2006)
Summary: "A Government that bemoans the population's low savings and
investment rates has only itself to blame. The majority of Americans
would agree that investing, retirement planning, and estate
preservation would be easier to manage if the Internal Revenue Code
was comprehensible. A landslide of American voters would elect any
candidate championing IRC replacement surgery."
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Investment
Strategy: The Investor's Creed (March, 2006)
Summary: "The Stock Market is a dynamic place where investors can consistently
make reasonable returns on their capital if they comply with the
basic principles of the endeavor AND if they don't measure their
progress too frequently with irrelevant measuring devices. Five
simple concepts of Asset Allocation, Investment Strategy, and
Psychology are summed up quite nicely in the 'The Investor's
Creed'."
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A
New Wall Street Line Dance: Performance (December,
2005)
Summary: "Every December, with visions of sugarplums dancing in their heads,
investors begin to scrutinize their performance, formulate
coulda’s and shoulda’s, and determine what to try next year.
It’s an annual, masochistic, rite of passage."
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Managing
the Income Portfolio (December, 2005)
Summary: "You don’t have to be a professional Investment Manager to
professionally manage your investment portfolio, but you do need to
have a long term plan and know something about Asset Allocation.
Controlling, or Implementing, the Investment Plan will be
accomplished best by those who are least emotional, most decisive,
naturally calm, patient, generally conservative (not politically),
and self actualized."
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Income
Investing: Selecting the Right Stuff (November, 2005)
Summary: "When is 3 percent better than 6 percent?
Yeah, we all know the answer, but only until the prices of the
securities we already own begin to fall. Then, logic and
mathematical acumen disappear and we become susceptible to all kinds
of special cures for the periodic onset of higher interest rates. Higher Interest Rates are
good for investors, even better than lower rates."
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Déjà
Vu, All Over Again (and again…) (October, 2005)
Summary: "Market Corrections can be good for the wallet! Corrections are part
of the normal "shock market" menu, and can be brought
about by either bad news or good news. If you don’t love
corrections (and deal with them like visiting relatives) you really
don’t understand the financial markets. Don’t be insulted, it
seems as though very few investors see it
this way."
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