Golf
and Investing: Tin Cup Lessons
Benjamin
Graham was an economist, financial analyst, and professional value investor. He
was one of the first to advise investors to look beyond the media hype and
confusion to find undervalued stocks that would become part of a diversified
portfolio.
Roy
McAvoy is a fictional professional golfer (in the 1996 film "Tin
Cup") whose pride, ego, and stubbornness combined to let the U. S. Open
championship slip through his fingers.
Graham
developed his skills and understanding of the financial markets into a
discipline that, most expert investors would agree, helps to minimize the risks
associated with investing. McAvoy recklessly ignored the risks associated with
visible hazards while he allowed his internal environment to bring a defeat he
clearly had the skills to avoid.
For an
endless variety of reasons "tin cup" amateur investors bring on their
own demise by failing to minimize risks using well known basic techniques that
are thoroughly documented and supported by sand traps full of statistical
evidence. They hit driver with every selection--- it's the only club in their
bag.
Institutional
plus-handicappers, defied the investment gods by developing derivative
monstrosities. They now resemble depression era "tin cuppers",
sitting crumpled by the curb, looking for government handouts to remove the
snowmen from their investment product scorecards.
Some of
the mightiest institutions have fallen because they disrespected the BING
(Basic Investment Guidelines). The investment gods are ticked.
In
amateur golf, most of us are aware of the basic elements of the game and are
all too familiar with our own personal, and seemingly unsolvable, shortcomings.
I
invariably take all but the shortest irons back too far. My biggest head
problem is the focus destroying "ageda" of the rude group behind us
either hitting to close or impatiently taking practice swings just fifty yards
back--- thinking that they are speeding up play in the process.
Knowing
better, my course management often falls prey to McAvoyian exercises in
futility--- the weekend's silly attempt at a Mickelson full swing flop shot
over a palmetto guarded sand trap, for example, when a simple chip to the clear
side of the green was so much more doable for a Sunday-15 handicapper.
Given a
choice between safe and risky, I seem to choose risky every time--- but only on
the golf course! I've not learned that a clear and calm bogey-every-hole
objective produces far more pars (and fewer "others") than a par-every-hole
goal that makes each second shot a masochistic head shaker.
I just
don't play enough to master the safe approach--- something I've grown used to
in investing because I do it every day. Knowing our own limitations should make
things easier. Yeah, it should.
Investing
is not as easy to master as many non-professionals seem to think--- and as even
more commissioned professionals would like them to think. It is likely that
most golfers fail to break 100 ninety percent of the time. Equity investors
eventually lose money on their selections most of the time--- and mostly
because they forget to take profits. Now there's a double-bogey off a perfect
drive!
The
most difficult aspects of golf and investing are similar: planning an asset
allocation and investment course management, minimizing risk of loss with
higher quality securities and taking hazards out of play by selecting the
proper club, trajectory, or landing area, etc.
Managing
your emotions during the post-birdie tee-shot or in the throes of a
triple-bogey is a microcosm of the emotional control needed to ride the roller
coaster produced by market, interest rate, and economic cycles.
Similarly,
mastering the short game (where the most shots are wasted in chunks, skulls,
and three-putts) is every bit as bottom-line relevant as fine tuning a trading
strategy that operates realistically and profitably along side the short-term
gyrations of the markets.
The
parallels between golf and investing are many--- risk management is just the
most obvious. Fore!
Steve
Selengut
Kiawah
Golf Investment Seminars
Author
of: "The Brainwashing of the American Investor: The Book that Wall Street
Does Not Want YOU to Read", and "A Millionaire's Secret Investment
Strategy"
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Golf
and Investing: Tin Cup Lessons