Preventing
Investment Mistakes: Ten Risk Minimizers
Most
investment mistakes are caused by basic misunderstandings of the securities
markets and by invalid performance expectations. The markets move in totally
unpredictable cyclical patterns of varying duration and amplitude. Evaluating
the performance of the two major classes of investment securities needs to be
done separately because they are owned for differing purposes. Stock market
equity investments are expected to produce realized capital gains; income-producing
investments are expected to generate cash flow.
Losing
money on an investment may not be the result of an investment mistake, and not
all mistakes result in monetary losses. But errors occur most frequently when
judgment is unduly influenced by emotions such as fear and greed, hindsightful
observations, and short-term market value comparisons with unrelated numbers.
Your own misconceptions about how securities react to varying economic,
political, and hysterical circumstances are your most vicious enemy.
Master
these ten risk-minimizers to improve your long-term investment performance:
1.
Develop an investment plan. Identify realistic goals that include
considerations of time, risk-tolerance, and future income requirements--- think
about where you are going before you start moving in the wrong direction. A
well thought out plan will not need frequent adjustments. A well-managed plan
will not be susceptible to the addition of trendy speculations.
2.
Learn to distinguish between asset allocation and diversification
decisions. Asset allocation divides
the portfolio between equity and income securities. Diversification is a
strategy that limits the size of individual portfolio holdings in at least
three different ways. Neither activity is a hedge, or a market timing devices.
Neither can be done precisely with mutual funds, and both are handled most
efficiently by using a cost basis approach like the Working Capital Model.
3. Be
patient with your plan. Although investing is always referred to as long- term,
it is rarely dealt with as such by investors, the media, or financial advisors.
Never change direction frequently, and always make gradual rather than drastic
adjustments. Short-term market value movements must not be compared with
un-portfolio related indices and averages. There is no index that compares with
your portfolio, and calendar sub-divisions have no relationship whatever to
market, interest rate, or economic cycles.
4.
Never fall in love with a security, particularly when the company was once your
employer. It's alarming how often accounting and other professionals refuse to
fix the resultant single-issue portfolios. Aside from the love issue, this
becomes an unwilling-to-pay-the-taxes problem that often brings the unrealized
gain to the Schedule D as a realized loss. No profit, in either class of
securities, should ever go unrealized. A target profit must be established as
part of your plan.
5.
Prevent "analysis paralysis" from short-circuiting your
decision-making powers. An overdose of information will cause confusion,
hindsight, and an inability to distinguish between research and sales
materials--- quite often the same document. A somewhat narrow focus on
information that supports a logical and well-documented investment strategy
will be more productive in the long run. Avoid future predictors.
6.
Burn, delete, toss out the window any short cuts or gimmicks that are supposed
to provide instant stock picking success with minimum effort. Don't allow your
portfolio to become a hodgepodge of mutual funds, index ETFs, partnerships,
pennies, hedges, shorts, strips, metals, grains, options, currencies, etc.
Consumers' obsession with products underlines how Wall Street has made it
impossible for financial professionals to survive without them. Remember:
consumers buy products; investors select securities.
7.
Attend a workshop on interest rate expectation (IRE) sensitive securities and
learn how to deal appropriately with changes in their market value--- in either
direction. The income portion of your portfolio must be looked at separately
from the growth portion. Bottom line market value changes must be expected and
understood, not reacted to with either fear or greed. Fixed income does not
mean fixed price. Few investors ever realize (in either sense) the full power
of this portion of their portfolio.
8.
Ignore Mother Nature's evil twin daughters, speculation and pessimism. They'll
con you into buying at market peaks and panicking when prices fall, ignoring
the cyclical opportunities provided by Momma. Never buy at all time high prices
or overload the portfolio with current story stocks. Buy good companies, little
by little, at lower prices and avoid the typical investor's buy high, sell low
frustration.
9. Step
away from calendar year, market value thinking. Most investment errors involve
unrealistic time horizon, and/or "apples to oranges" performance
comparisons. The get rich slowly path is a more reliable investment road that
Wall Street has allowed to become overgrown, if not abandoned. Portfolio growth
is rarely a straight-up arrow and short-term comparisons with unrelated
indices, averages or strategies simply produce detours that speed progress away
from original portfolio goals.
10.
Avoid the cheap, the easy, the confusing, the most popular, the future knowing,
and the one-size-fits-all. There are no freebies or sure things on Wall Street,
and the further you stray from conventional stocks and bonds, the more risk you
are adding to your portfolio. When cheap is an investor's primary concern, what
he gets will generally be worth the price.
Compounding
the problems that investors face managing their investment portfolios is the
sensationalism that the media brings to the process. Step away from calendar
year, market value thinking. Investing is a personal project where
individual/family goals and objectives must dictate portfolio structure,
management strategy, and performance evaluation techniques.
Do most
individual investors have difficulty in an environment that encourages instant
gratification, supports all forms of speculation, and gets off on shortsighted
reports, reactions, and achievements? Yup.
Steve
Selengut
http://www.sancoservices.com
http://www.kiawahgolfinvestmentseminars.com
Author
of: "The Brainwashing of the American Investor: The Book that Wall Street
Does Not Want YOU to Read", and "A Millionaire's Secret Investment
Strategy"
investment,stock
market,money,asset allocation,diversification,Wall Street,stocks,equities,fixed
income,income investing,investment plan,commissions,taxes,Working Capital,
Preventing
Investment Mistakes: Ten Risk Minimizers
Losing
money on an investment may not be the result of a mistake, and not all mistakes
result in monetary losses. Your own misconceptions about how securities react
to varying economic, political, and hysterical circumstances are your most
vicious enemy. Step away from calendar year, market value thinking. Avoid these
ten common errors to improve your performance:
http://www.sancoservices.com/businessbookreviews.htm