Investment Management Strategy: Seven Principles for Success
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Many
Investment Gurus, with a straight face and a gleam in their eye, will insist
that successful investing is a function of expansive research, skillful market
timing, and detailed technical analysis. Others emphasize fundamental
information about companies, industries, and markets. But trends and numbers
are secondary to a thorough understanding of the basic principles of Investing
and Management, and their interrelationships. The ingredients for a successful
investment portfolio are these: stubborn belief in the Quality,
Diversification, and Income trinity from Investments 101, and operations that
employ the Planning, Leading, Organizing, and Controlling skills introduced in
Freshman Management. Here are some things to keep in mind while you season your
experience with patience and marinate your investment process with discipline:
·
A viable Investment
Program begins with the private development of an Investment Plan. The first step is the identification of personal
goals and objectives and a time frame for goal achievement. The end result
should be a near autopilot, long-term and increasing, retirement income. Asset
Allocation is used to structure the portfolio so that it operates in a goal
directed manner. The finished Plan must be flexible in design, based upon
reasonable expectations, simple in structure and operation, and easy to
supervise.
·
Use a "cost
based" Asset Allocation Model. Although
most of the Investment World operates on a Market Value basis for everything from
performance analysis to Asset Allocation and Diversification decision modeling,
you will improve your long-term results and stay within your allocation and
diversification guidelines better by using a system based upon Working Capital.
This widely unknown Asset Allocation "model" takes the hype out of
daily stock market reporting and keeps the income investor's focus on
appropriate statistics.
·
Control your
emotions, among other things. Clearly,
fear and greed are the two that require the most control in the investment
environment… particularly in these days of a reckless media, Internet empowered
scam merchants, high-speed information gathering/processing, and cheap
personalized trading capabilities. Love and hate need to be dealt with as well,
but there are fewer out-of-body influences on these. Only strictly disciplined
decision makers need apply for your Investment Management position… and you may
not be the ideal candidate. Investment Management is a continual
responsibility, not a weekend and occasional evenings avocation.
·
Avoid hindsightful
analysis, and uninformed (or biased) criticism. It is painfully comical how hindsight has taken over
in our society… in sports, finance, politics, and the professions, everywhere…
everyone you hear is second-guessing and finger pointing. No one is willing to
take responsibility for their own actions and everyone is willing to sue
whoever coulda', woulda' or shoulda' prevented whatever happened. Investors
cannot afford to be Little League crybabies. Make one of the three basic
decisions (which are?) and don't look back. No person or program can predict
the future, and your portfolio requires management today. The playing field for
the investment game is uncertainty.
·
Establish a
profit-taking target for every security you purchase. The purpose
of investing is to make more money than you could in a guaranteed,
non-negotiable instrument. This larger money making expectation comes with an
assumption of some form of risk… there are several, and its "in
there" in all investments. In Equities, set a reasonable profit target and
take less if you can get it quickly. With income investments, never say no to a
profit equal to a year's income, or 10% if you like round numbers. There are
always new investment opportunities, and there is no such thing as a bad
profit… or a good loss.
·
Examine Market Value
numbers at intelligent intervals. Frequent
examination is stressful and non-productive. There are no averages or indices
that compare with a properly diversified Investment Portfolio, particularly if
your Equity selections are screened for Quality and Income. Investing is a
long-term endeavor, and neither Shock(sic) Market symbols nor current yields
operate on a calendar year schedule. Look at market peaks and troughs over significant
time periods that include "cycles"… and do separate your analysis by
class.
·
Avoid what the crowd
is doing and shun investment products. Consumers buy products; Investors buy securities. The crowd is driven by
the very emotions that you must learn to control. Stay focused on your plan;
analyze your annual income and trading statistics. Buy and hold creates more
real tax problems than real millionaires, and gimmicks and fads last just
slightly longer than spring fashions. Always buy good stuff on bad news and
sell into good news announcements..
·
Don't try to save
the world with your investment decisions. Never limit your investment opportunities artificially. Votes work
better when it comes to changing your world, and corporations should not be the
targets of your political hates… get rid of incumbents, state and local, until
there are changes in the tax code, social security, tort law, environmental
issues, etc. In the meantime, invest with your head, not your heart. The
business of a capitalist society is…
·
Keep in mind that
you need Income to pay the bills, and that your cost of living in retirement
will be higher than you think. If
you insist on some income from every Equity security you ever own, and
beat-the-bank income from income securities, you will obtain two important
things: An annually increasing cash flow that will rise at a rate greater than
most normal inflation rates. A higher quality investment portfolio for better
long-term investment performance. (If you use a cost based Asset Allocation
model with at least 30% invested in income securities and no open end Mutual
Funds or Index ETFs.) Never settle for tiny short-term yields or get hooked on
those that are unsustainably high.
·
Investing is not a
competitive event, ever. You don't
need to beat the market. You need to accomplish a set of personalized goals.
Not even your twin's portfolio should be the same as yours. The faster you run,
the less likely it is that you will succeed over time. Big risks, foolproof
gimmicks, and exotic computer programs occasion more failures than success
stories. Remember the Investment gods? They created Stocks and Bonds… only
Stocks and Bonds!
·
Avoid Unrealized
Gains, Embrace Volatility, Increase Annual Income, and remember that all key
investment moments are only visible in rear view mirrors. Most unrealized gains become Schedule D realized
losses. As of today there has never been a correction (rally) that has not
succumbed to the next rally (correction). Only an increasing income level can
beat back inflation… a bigger market value number just doesn't do it.
Perge'
Steve Selengut
http://www.sancoservices.com
http://www.valuestockbuylistprogram.com
Professional Portfolio
Management since 1979
Author of: "The Brainwashing
of the American Investor: The Book that Wall Street Does Not Want YOU to
Read", and "A Millionaire's Secret Investment Strategy"