The
Below The Radar Hedge Fund Crisis
The
other day, with the market giving up about a third of its March gain in DJIA
points, I went looking through my favorite market stats to see if any remaining
profits could be pounced upon. Typically, profit possibilities can be
identified quickly on NYSE lists of the largest dollar and percent gainers.
Alarmingly,
75% of the largest percent gainers were ETFs, and many of those operate using
the same strategies as classic hedge funds--- most owned no common stock at
all! At the same time, 93% of the largest dollar gainers were ETFs with a large
proportion plainly operating like a hedge fund.
Earlier
in March, while we were all sunning ourselves in the far-too-infrequent-lately
UVs of a brief rally, I was doing a similar search for undervalued IGVSI
stocks. Yes, Virginia, there is an equally impressive array of hedge funds
betting that the markets (and the South) actually will rise again.
What is
a hedge fund, and just what does it try to accomplish? I think the key legal
element is that they don't say how they intend to get the job done.
Initially,
hedging was used as a risk mollifier in the securities markets in the same way
as insurance is used for protection against disasters impacting life, health, and
personal property. Taking a short position on an owned security, for example,
protects an investor's profit if the company's market price plunges.
Naked
shorting, shorting baskets of securities, and shorting indices, however, have
morphed into a risk creator, not a risk reducer. Similarly, hedge funds that
hold index funds as betting devices on market sector performance are not what
the investment gods envisioned when they blessed the sector experiment.
The new
definition of hedge fund speaks of an aggressively managed entity that uses
leverage, long, short, options, futures, and derivative positions with the goal
of generating high returns. Risk reduction is no longer the objective.
Hedge
funds have never been regulated like their open-end mutual fund cousins--- the
rationale being that they cater to a wealthy and sophisticated clientele. In
fact, the law requires that participants in hedge funds jump over income, net
worth, and investment high-hurdles before being eligible to participate.
Investopedia
refers to them as mutual funds for the super rich, but the only similarities to
the plain vanilla equity mutual fund are the pooling of participants' money and
professional management. During the past decade, a series of ill advised and
shortsighted rules changes gave hedge fund managers destructive powers that
exacerbated the financial crisis that will mourn its second anniversary this
summer.
But
regulating the hedge fund is clearly a too late closing of a barn door
encrusted with diamonds (no pun intended). A few years ago, the masters of the
universe rediscovered, redefined, and complicated the world of closed end
mutual funds by creating many different forms of passively managed index/hedge
funds.
As
innocent as these funds may appear, they too have altered the investment
landscape. Speculators (not investors) place their bets on the rise or fall of
the index. These bets artificially impact the market price of securities
because many (if not all) of the funds actually own the securities they are
tracking.
Additionally,
many individual stocks fall into several indices, and most of the major ETF
marketing companies sell similar index funds. Didn't we just go through this
with mortgage-backed securities? Aren't these funds artificially taking common stock
pricing further and further away from the fundamentals of the companies
themselves?
Today,
it appears that every passive fund has two or three accompanying short/bear
ETFs plus an equal number of bull/long funds to choose from.
Apparently,
the SEC has not taken the trouble to look inside the thousands of boutique ETFs
that by now must outnumber the securities they are tracking.
Wall
Street wants all CEFs (index, hedge, bond, equity, real estate, whatever) to be
regulated and reported upon as though they were simply common stocks. As a
whole, they aren't even close. In fact, there are more of these derivatives
traded on the NYSE than common stocks and preferred stocks combined.
And the
real crime is this: investors as naive as the wet-diapered E-Trade spokesbaby
can push a button and buy operational hedge funds more bizarre and
sophisticated than any ever imagined buy the rich and famous.
If an
ETF harbors a hedge fund, but doesn't call it a hedge fund, is it really not a
hedge fund? If Merrill Lynch creates a mutual fund with pro rata individual
account statements, is it any less of a mutual fund? Is it really individual
account management? Have the commissions really disappeared? The SEC thought
so.
Shouldn't
the regulators be smart enough (and brave enough) to put an end to these
legal-in-name-only frauds? Should your mother's IRA be speculating in puts on
Netherlands Tulip Bulb futures? How about 200% of the inverse of the Financial
Select Sector Index?
A
search at ETF-Connect for US Equity ETFs finds roughly 500 potential speculations
that absolutely anyone can buy into. All are self-directed IRA eligible---
401(k) eligible, possibly. A look inside reveals hedge-fund-like operations. But
technically, they are not hedge funds because they describe the strategies
employed.
So long
as we tolerate Wall Street attorneys circumventing the intent of our securities
laws, and so long as we reward regulators for their blind worship of the letter
of these laws, we will have this kind of manipulation.
Index
ETFs (and the no doubt about it hedge fund casinos they front) need a league of
their own, located in Vegas, AC, or Uncasville. (A free
"Brainwashing" book to the first three people who explain
Uncasville!) They demand a new rulebook that recognizes content and strategy---
not trading form.
The ETF
derivative market requires a fresh new breed of big picture aware, loophole
fillers --- the Obama team is accepting applications.
Whatever
happened to stocks and bonds?
Steve
Selengut
http://www.sancoservices.com/
http://www.kiawahgolfinvestmentseminars.com
Professional
Investment Management from 1979
Author
of: "The Brainwashing of the American Investor: The Book that Wall Street
Does Not Want YOU to Read", and "A Millionaire's Secret Investment
Strategy"