Asset
Allocation for Foundation and Endowment Investment Portfolios
Foundations, Endowments and other
Not-for-Profit organizations come in all shapes and sizes. The assets that they
control and manage for the benefit of countless projects, charities, and causes
is staggering in total and it has become a primary market for the vast array of
investment products developed by Wall Street financial institutions. One can
only speculate about how much "Bubble Paper" finds its way into the
these portfolios, but nearly all of them are managed by the major brokerage
firms, and all such firms bonus their brokers on the basis of product sales. It
is not uncommon for Wall Street to re-write the syllabus for Investments 101,
redefining Quality, Diversification, and Income to suit its own dark purposes…
If you were to look back at your
foundation/endowment/not-for-profit portfolio of the late 90's, how much was
invested in NASDAQ issues, either directly or in the form of mutual funds?
Dot.coms? Don't be at all surprised if your more recent reports (2006 thru
2008) are replete with CMOs, CDOs, Index Funds, Foreign Investments, asterisks,
footnotes, etc. This is the type of investing that is standard fare on Wall
Street and it is certainly something that you need to be concerned about. Wall
Street Pros always move the money toward whatever is most popular at the
moment. Always, no matter how late in the cycle it happens to be.
Regardless of the proprietary label given
to this new age, scientific asset management, the speculation level is barely
above that of options, commodities, and futures. You don't need to go there to
achieve the goals of your organization… plain vanilla stocks and bonds are not
broken, they have just been replaced with better income generators for the
Wizards of Wall Street. I understand that they've even been able to change the
"prudent man rule" to allow unusually high risk, get this, so long as
the potential reward is equally significant!
Have I gotten your attention?
From what I've been reading, it seems that
the disbursement-budget determination process in some organizations is based on
information that has absolutely nothing to do with a portfolio's ability to
generate the money being disbursed. Similarly, it appears as though all investments
are expected to grow in market value all of the time, irrespective of where
mother nature's investment twin is in developing her various cycles. Somehow, a
higher market value translates into higher availability of disbursable funds,
when, in fact, no such relationship exists.
Some organizations determine their annual
disbursement budget based on the average market value of the investment
portfolio over the past several years. If the investment markets cooperate, and
the market value remains above the average, the disbursements take place as
scheduled. If not, some beneficiaries may have to go without. This is
unnecessary, as well as absurd. The
average market value of the portfolio is not what determines the amount of
spendable income the portfolio produces. The market value approach also assures
that payouts will decrease just when they are needed the most… when the market
is in a prolonged correction, donor contributions are down, and interest rates
or inflation (or both) are trending higher.
Let's say, for example, that we have a
portfolio invested solely in government bonds yielding 6%. This 6% will be
available for disbursement regardless of the direction of the portfolio market
value. Lower valuations are always opportunities to add to holdings; higher
ones should provide profit-taking opportunities. Similarly, a portfolio
invested in equities with an average dividend yield of 1.5% just will not cover
a 4% disbursement nut unless something is sold... a sale that could well be a
losing transaction. (Wall Street pros take losses quickly, but rarely take
profits in the same manner.)
The amount of base income produced by a
portfolio is very predictable. In the case of most foundation and endowment
portfolios, the rate of annual additions from contributors can also be safely,
and conservatively, estimated. Creating a portfolio that produces enough income
to cover programmed disbursements, even with a three-month money-market
reserve, is simply simple… and has absolutely nothing to do with the portfolio
market value. Another thing to look for, as a trustee or director of your
organization is the profitability of sales transactions. The results may
surprise you.
Inflation is a purchasing power issue, and
purchasing power depends on income. Hoping, as many people do, for an upward
only portfolio-market-value scenario is, at best, comical. A properly designed
portfolio will constantly generate increasing levels of base income at varying
market value levels, and that is the stuff from which disbursements are made.
If the payout rate to beneficiaries is 4% (of Working Capital, perhaps) and we
want to increase the dollar amount of the 4%, we need simply to increase the
assets that are producing the cash flow… by reinvesting some of the income and
contributions appropriately. Increasing the market value of the securities
looks good but generates no additional regular spending money. In fact, higher
yields are always more readily available when prices are down than when they
are up… go figure. Really, go figure.
If we can (through proper asset
allocation, and a portfolio management methodology that focuses on working
capital) increase our investment in our income producing securities base, we
can stay ahead of inflation and satisfy our commitment to whatever cause it is
that concerns us. This can be done with much less risk than most not-for-profit
board members have become used to in recent years while they blindly chase the
gold ring of ever higher market values. Market value, though, will cycle to new
highs periodically, as the stock market, interest rate, and business cycles
move on down, and up, the road. Isn't the primary purpose, after all, to grow
the distributed benefits?
As important as income is to the
achievement of your disbursement goals, there is certainly a place for a
diversified portfolio of Investment Grade Value Stocks within the asset
allocation. You will have difficulty convincing your broker to stick with IGV
stocks, and to trade them for short-term profits. Frankly, most are inexperienced
at doing so. But your tax status, size, and mission are perfect for this kind
of strategy. Your investment manager should take care of the income part of the
asset allocation first, before venturing into the riskier realm of equities.
Stop! No matter what you've been told lately, quality income investments are
always less risky than even the best equity investments. What about the 2007
CDO mess? Junk is junk, no matter how pretty the package.
You have a fiduciary responsibility to
understand what's inside your not-for-profit investment portfolio... even if
you think that you are pleased with its recent performance. It just makes good
sense to get another opinion. Similarly, if you donate money to a cause that
interests you, the general structure and content of the investment portfolio
should be of some interest. Complicated products with trunches, and multi-level
ifs-ands-and-buts are for arbitrageurs and speculators. Any investment product
that requires a Masters Degree in Quantum Mathematics to decipher is hiding
something… and that something is excessive risk. What's in your not-for-profit
portfolio?
Steve
Selengut
http://www.sancoservices.com
http://www.investmentmanagementbooks.com/
Author:
"The Brainwashing of the American Investor: The Book that Wall Street Does
Not Want YOU to Read" and "A Millionaire's Secret Investment
Strategy".
asset allocation,foundations,endowments,not for profit organizations,investment portfolios,income,stocks.bonds,fiduciary responsibility,Wall Street,board members,trustees
Asset
Allocation for Foundation and Endowment Investment Portfolios
The
High Risk in Foundation/Endowment Investment Portfolios
If you
were to look back at your foundation/endowment/not-for-profit portfolio of the
late 90's, how much was invested in NASDAQ issues, either directly or in the
form of mutual funds? Dot.coms? Don't be at all surprised if your more recent
reports (2006 thru 2008) are replete with CMOs, CDOs, Index Funds, Foreign
Investments, asterisks, footnotes, etc. This is the type of investing that is
standard fare on Wall Street.
One can
only speculate about how much "Bubble Paper" finds its way into the
these portfolios, but nearly all of them are managed by the major brokerage
firms, and all such firms bonus their brokers on the basis of product sales. It
is not uncommon for Wall Street to re-write the syllabus for Investments 101,
redefining Quality, Diversification, and Income to suit its own dark purposes…
http://www.sancoservices.com/foundationendowmentandnotforprofitportfolios.htm
http://www.sancoservices.com/Asset%20Allocation%20for%20Endowments%20and%20Foundations.htm